Wednesday, April 3, 2013

Challenges before jail/trap-phobic HM Ersahd



[This was published in Dhaka Courier on 22 March 2013]

HM Ersahd, founder plus sitting chairman of Jatio party and former president of Bangladesh under the then so-called presidential system of government, is under serious pressure from the ranks and files of Jatio party on question of quitting Hasina-led grand alliance government without a delay. Not a single member of Jatio party is now convinced that Hasina administration has over the last four and a half year been able to present a fit to be seen success in line with its electoral pledges. Rather the volumes and extent of failures have become so high and wide for which it shall, if truth be told, be the most challenging and onerous task for the Grand Alliance to confidently face the people and next elections to 10th parliament. It is held that Jatio party cannot be a party to any of these failures as it was never consulted on any issue and initiative, strategic or not, of Hasina administration. Even Ershad himself became a definite target of deprivations hatched unnecessarily by Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina. Therefore, policy of deprivations and getting lost fogged up the highly anticipated good days for Jatio party and Ershad.

Unfolding theme of the Presidium meeting of Jatio party headed by Ershad in the last week brought to light that all the members of the presidium asked Ershad to read and understand strictly the writings against the walls about rapidly growing and escalating dissatisfactions of the people about the misrule of Hasina administration and thus make no further delay to leave the Grand alliance government. Ershad knowing very well of the pulse of all readily requested them to empower him officially to take the right decision at the most opportune moment in near future. No doubt that the presidium could not but listen to him. It is on record that Ershad uttered many times that he would say goodbye to the grand alliance government and thus pave way for taking required steps politically and organizationally to contest the next elections without being a party to any alliance. In an exclusive talk with the satellite channel ETV on 17 March 2013 Ershad, now a stern critic of the mode and manner of Hasina administration, reaffirmed that he would wallop grand alliance government very soon for the greater interests of the people as well as the jatio party.

Does HM Ersahd in reality want to survive and swell in the politics of Bangladesh cashing dividends in such a manner and mass that shall meaningfully help Jatio party to emerge as the certain deciding factor in the electoral politics, which has in effect rolled into politics of alliance, in particular before and after the elections to 10th parliament? Has Ershad, practically speaking, at present got rid of all sorts of over emotionalism, self-contradictions, fantasies and hallucinations setting and proving him, of course, both in the eyes of the people and the activists of Jatio party, as a man of decision, vision and mission even in the face of challenges, Himalayan or oceanic?  Replies are very simple and straightforward, which entail inter alia:

Yes, HM Ersahd is apparently determined to survive and swell meaningfully in the politics of Bangladesh both electorally and non-electorally since he has a political party colored with catchy program, manifesto and constitution having demonstrable representations in all the parliaments since 1986 including the present one. Jatio party led by HM Ershad was in power from 1986 to 1990 and HM Ershad during the period of continuance of martial law held also the office of CMLA (Chief Martial Law Administrator) from 1982 to 1986. Taking both the offices together HM Ershad had been in power for about nine years onward, first of its kind in Bangladesh.

Ershad must be considered in the political history and development of Bangladesh as the most effective statesman so far in the sense that he had successfully drawn almost all the key figures from various political parties within the fold of JP. Nobody can undermine his magnetic power to draw and put such stalwarts under his leadership because in politics money and/or power cannot be deciding factor all the time. Something more is needed, which Ershad was possessed of and perhaps even today he is by and large not stripped of such specialties.

He shall be remembers for his audacious decision to transfer power in a peaceful manner to a non-party, neutral care-taker government headed by the then chief justice Shahabuddin Ahmed following the seven points formula of the combined opposition political parties of the time, although one may differ on the point of his free and fair intention as the historic episode took place In the face of movement leading to popular upsurge.

Therefore, two conclusions may be drawn from his transfer of power before the scheduled period of time. One is that Ershad resigned and handed over power showing respect to the urge and demand of the people and the other is that Ershad was forced to resign to pave the way for making a free and fair atmosphere for holding elections to parliament and local bodies to be conducted independently by Election Commission. Former relates to his respect to the wishes of the people while latter speaks of his compulsion to do so without having any alternative course of action.

Which one is more comfortable that is not the issue at all. What is important is that Ershad left the leadership of government in expectation of better playing field for politics and elections and he definitely did it serenely. One should always be kind and fair enough to judge and analyze this matter in the context of time, space and dimension since politics and political science, as a rule accordingly, sticks to the principles of recognition to good job, good conscience and good behavior.

In today’s politics Ershad, a jail/trap-phobic leader, has become a kind of ‘tennis ball’ for Sheikh Hasia and Begum Khaleda Zia and there is no dearth of doubt that Ershad himself is largely responsible for such excruciating situation.

He recognizes his loopholes and mistakes committed in the past and, interestingly enough, candidly he confesses that being a general, unlike General Ziaur Rahman he either did not or could not understand the importance of building a solid, viable, grass-root political party while in power. More appalling is that he still feels a very strong urge to practice the old mistakes making the activists, ranks and files in the party bewildered, helpless and speechless.

Conceivably enough, Ershad is not free to take any political decision at his own since it is very much in the air that he has to move under the silhouette of India. Hence, he cannot put the wishes of the people and Jatio party into practice without a necessary green signal from India. Therefore, it is up to him to disprove such saying not in words but in action as early as possible.

Time is moving fast and Ershad has to take all into note pragmatically and mathematically what is right and what is wrong being fully aware of the sycophants, inside conspirers and sabotage-doers. He must not forget the truth that this is the era of politics of alliance, electoral or not. No political party whether it is AL or BNP is in a position to take risk to singularly contest all the three hundred seats of parliament in any election and that’s why his dream to do so is nothing but a mirage indeed. Ershad has a kind of political belief that elections to the next 10th parliament shall be held under Hasina led party run government. Therefore, in absence of BNP, Jatio party’s becoming the opposition is certain virtually. So, it is wiser and better to wait and see what comes finally before the elections.  If such mathematics does not see the light then he under the pressure of the activists and policy-makers of jatio party may choose to tag Jatio party with any major alliance in such mode and manner so that jatio party may have at least sixty seats. It is assumed that Ershad this time will side with BNP and if he is sure of getting such very quota then he has the brightest possibility to emerge and stand as the deciding factor in making the immediate next alliance government after elections to the 10th parliament.

Now the asking is that will jail or trap-phobic HM Ershad finally leave Hasina? Or is he in actual fact free to draw a conclusion at his own? Let us see and enjoy in the face of such challenges what in the end comes from this very ambitious personality in the politics of Bangladesh.


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